racesandredistricting.blogspot.com
Races and Redistricting: July 2012
http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/2012_07_01_archive.html
The place for analyzing political races and congressional redistricting! Saturday, July 28, 2012. Senate Race Ratings 2012. Map of Senate seats. Dark blue = Safe Democratic. Light Blue = Lean Democratic. Green = Safe Independent. Safe Democratic (9 seats). Delaware (Tom Carper:) Only state where the Governor and the entire congressional delegation is Democratic. Carper is not losing any races anytime soon. Maryland (Ben Cardin): This is Maryland. Vermont (Bernie Sanders): Another strongly Democratic seat...
racesandredistricting.blogspot.com
Races and Redistricting: July 2013
http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/2013_07_01_archive.html
The place for analyzing political races and congressional redistricting! Sunday, July 21, 2013. Leticia Perez and SD-16 Election Night Guide. I previously wrote a similar post focusing more on turnout in SD-16 and why Leticia Perez should not concede. It was written just after the May 21st primary. It can be found here:. President Obama's 2008 numbers in SD-16:. Supervisor Perez's numbers in the 2013 primary:. Keep these questions in mind to find out who will control this crucial seat for the 2/3rd major...
racesandredistricting.blogspot.com
Races and Redistricting: November 2012
http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/2012_11_01_archive.html
The place for analyzing political races and congressional redistricting! Tuesday, November 6, 2012. I will be running a liveblog for this election so you can see the results. 6:58: Things are not looking too good in North Carolina. We got our voters out but the Republican turnout seemed to have increased higher than I would have liked. 6:53 MSNBC calls New Hampshire for Obama! 6:47: Two pickups in the Senate! 6:35: Jefferson and Araphaoe Counties, the big bellwethers in Colorado are looking good for Obama.
racesandredistricting.blogspot.com
Races and Redistricting: Florida Redistricting from the Democratic Perspective
http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/2015/07/florida-mid-decade-redistricting-ideal.html
The place for analyzing political races and congressional redistricting! Friday, July 17, 2015. Florida Redistricting from the Democratic Perspective. Earlier in July, Democrats got exciting news! Florida's current map (before the changes): https:/ www.govtrack.us/congress/members/FL. The map: (with Gainesville in 5th district). Data (with Gainesville in 5th distict). All data on this map is either from Dave's Redistricting App or from Stephen Wolf, an editor for Daily Kos Elections). Graham will undoubt...
racesandredistricting.blogspot.com
Races and Redistricting: Louisiana County Benchmarks
http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/2014/10/louisiana-county-benchmarks.html
The place for analyzing political races and congressional redistricting! Monday, October 20, 2014. This post is first in an installment continuing to Election Day looking at competitive Senate/Gubernatorial races and examining the dynamics and county benchmarks in each state. Here is a map of the benchmarks:. Dark Blue = Landrieu 55%. Light Blue = Landrieu 50%-54%. Light Red = Landrieu 45%-49%. Dark Red = Landrieu 44%-. New Orleans Metropolitan Area:. Baton Rogue Metropolitan Area:. This is my 6th post u...
racesandredistricting.blogspot.com
Races and Redistricting: March 2014
http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/2014_03_01_archive.html
The place for analyzing political races and congressional redistricting! Thursday, March 20, 2014. Welcome to the Six State California Part I. Disclaimer: None of these politicians I list in my post have announced any plans to run for any of the positions. These are just my predictions. Map of six proposed states:. Green = North California. Purple = Silicon Valley. Yellow = Central Valley. Red = West California. Teal = South California. Presidential vote 2012: Obama 48.5%, Romney 51.5%. Senator: Kamala H...
racesandredistricting.blogspot.com
Races and Redistricting: Senate Outlook 2014: Tossup in the Works
http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/2014/10/senate-outlook-2014-tossup-in-works.html
The place for analyzing political races and congressional redistricting! Tuesday, October 7, 2014. Senate Outlook 2014: Tossup in the Works. Safe D = Dark blue. Likely D = Blue. Lean D = Bright blue. Tilt D = Pale Blue. Pure Tossup = Purple. Tilt R = Pale Red. Lean R = Orange. Safe R = Red. Sen Chris Coons (D) faced Christine O'Donnell (R) in 2010 who told voters she was not a witch. This seat however is not bewitched, Coons should win easily. Sen Ed Markey (D) will have no trouble winning here. Sen Mark...
racesandredistricting.blogspot.com
Races and Redistricting: Final Election Predictions + 2014 Election Night Guide
http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/2014/11/final-election-predictions-2014.html
The place for analyzing political races and congressional redistricting! Monday, November 3, 2014. Final Election Predictions 2014 Election Night Guide. One more dawn, one more day, one day more! Here are my final election predictions. After an extremely rocky road to the Election day with polls showing 10 tossups according to RCP, this is going to be an exciting night! Here is a Google doc with a detailed baseline breakdown, keep this handy during election night. Alaska does not report by county. My...
racesandredistricting.blogspot.com
Races and Redistricting: March 2013
http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/2013_03_01_archive.html
The place for analyzing political races and congressional redistricting! Monday, March 4, 2013. California House Races 2014. Map of California's congressional districts. Source:. Here is an interactive map of California's current congressional districts: http:/ www.govtrack.us/congress/members/CA. Tossup/Tilt Democratic (1 seat). CA-31 Rep. Gary Miller (R) Redlands, San Bernadino, Rancho Cucamonga. Partisan Stats: Obama 57%, Romney 41% (2012 Presidential results by district for California are here. And t...
racesandredistricting.blogspot.com
Races and Redistricting: October 2014
http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/2014_10_01_archive.html
The place for analyzing political races and congressional redistricting! Monday, October 20, 2014. This post is first in an installment continuing to Election Day looking at competitive Senate/Gubernatorial races and examining the dynamics and county benchmarks in each state. Here is a map of the benchmarks:. Dark Blue = Landrieu 55%. Light Blue = Landrieu 50%-54%. Light Red = Landrieu 45%-49%. Dark Red = Landrieu 44%-. New Orleans Metropolitan Area:. Baton Rogue Metropolitan Area:. Links to this post.